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Dan Penner Mortgage Advisor

Dan Penner

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Buckle Up, Canada! What's in Store for the Mortgage Market in 2024? 🏡💸

1/14/2024

Hey there, homeowners and future homebuyers! It's been a bit of a rollercoaster for Canada's mortgage market in the past year, and we're all crossing our fingers for a sunnier outlook in 2024. 🌞

So, what's the scoop? Rising interest rates made things a bit tight for new buyers and gave existing homeowners a bit of a budget headache. Thanks, Bank of Canada's fight against inflation! But hey, at the end of the year, we got three consecutive rate holds, and rumor has it rates might start heading south in the new year. πŸ“‰

But hold your horses! According to Bank of Montreal's chief economist Doug Porter, the economic forecast might not be all sunshine and rainbows. He predicts that the economy will be playing hard to get for a bit longer, possibly even hinting at a shallow recession. 😬

December threw us a curveball with a surprising uptick in home sales across the Great White North. Doug Porter warns that this might not be fantastic news for those hoping for the central bank to cut rates soon. The Bank of Canada will be keeping a close eye on these housing shenanigans, contemplating whether it's time to drop those rates. πŸ πŸ“ˆ

On the employment front, wage growth strutted its stuff, hitting 5.8% in December. Not bad, right? But Royal Bank of Canada's assistant chief economist Nathan Janzen thinks we shouldn't pop the champagne just yet. Mixed labor market data suggests the economy might still be feeling a bit soft around the edges. πŸ“ŠπŸ’Ό

Now, about that potential economic slowdown in 2024 - no need to panic just yet. Doug Porter assures us it's more of a bumpy landing than a full-blown meltdown. We've had our fair share of challenges, with the unemployment rate taking a leap last year and a slightly gloomy GDP quarter. It's like the economy is doing a tap dance, not the smoothest moves, but not a full-on tumble either. πŸ’ƒπŸ“‰

So, fellow Canadians, strap in for the ride ahead! It might be a bit bumpy, but we've weathered storms before. Here's to hoping for smoother times in the mortgage market this year. Stay tuned, and let's see where this rollercoaster takes us! 🎒🍁

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