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Canada's Inflation Rollercoaster: What You Need to Know! 📈💸

1/16/2024

Hey there, savvy readers! Ready to dive into the wild world of Canada's inflation rollercoaster? Buckle up, because the latest ride in December is giving us some unexpected twists! 🎒

According to the buzz from our friends at CanadianMortgageTrends magazine, Canada's headline inflation rate decided to shake things up again, climbing to 3.4% in December. That's a jump from November's 3.1%, and economists totally saw it coming. πŸ“Š

StatsCan spilled the tea, revealing that this rise was mostly due to "base effects" – think of it like the impact of last year's prices playing tag with this year's Consumer Price Index (CPI). πŸ”„ If you take out the gasoline drama, the headline CPI would've chilled at 3.5% in December, down from 3.6% in November.

Now, the Bank of Canada prefers to look at core inflation, stripping away food and energy prices. But, surprise, surprise – it's still not hitting the comfort zone. CPI-median stood its ground at 3.6%, and CPI-trim turned heads by climbing to 3.7%. Randall Bartlett from Desjardins warned, "We're not out of the woods yet." 🌲

Economists are predicting the Bank of Canada will play it safe and "cautious" in the coming months. With both headline and core inflation dancing way above the Bank's dreamy 2%, they're not ready to throw caution to the wind. πŸ’¨

Douglas Porter, BMO's chief economist, mentioned the "stickiness" of recent inflation readings, hinting that bringing inflation back to the ideal 2% might be the hardest stretch of the race. TD's Leslie Preston added her two cents, saying, "December’s inflation report underscores that the last mile of getting inflation all the way back to 2% is the hardest." 🏁

But wait, there's more drama in the housing corner! πŸ‘πŸ’° Mortgage interest costs, fueled by the Bank of Canada's rate hikes, are soaring 29.8% above last year's levels. Meanwhile, rent prices are keeping their cool, maintaining a 7.4% increase from November.

Shelter costs are taking center stage in the inflation saga, parading at a 6% year-over-year pace in December. It's like the VIP section of the inflation party!

In a nutshell, the last mile of this inflation marathon is proving to be a marathon in itself. πŸƒ‍β™€οΈπŸ’¨ So, stay tuned as the Bank of Canada gears up for the next rate decision and MPR, maintaining that "cautious stance." 🏦

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