Wynne Not helping Sellers Win!
The non resident buyers tax is really a measure to try and eliminate speculative participation in the residential real estate market in Ontario. Sousa said that they estimate foreign buyers account for approx 8% of purchases being made. This may account for a reduction in offers from these sorts of individuals but the government is trying to funnel the foreign investment into commercial real estate and large multi family projects. This pushes it from speculation to investment. As such much like BC they are likely to just pivot their money into other areas. Luckily people who are here on Work Visas are not being charged this tax from my reading of the releases. It would be an unintended effect to not allow these people to buy, same goes for people buying for their children to attend school. The collecting of citizenship data will help with this. But much like in BC people will look for a way around this. It will likely increase the incidence of Straw Buyers where someone uses a Canadian to buy the home in their name with a joint venture agreement behind it that is not registered. This is something people do to avoid capital gains as well. Its not something that occurs a lot right now but it will certainly rise.
The rent control measures now including properties built after 1991 is something that should be expected. A fair market rent can be established everytime a property is vacated. Until then it is fair and just to keep the monthly rent costs in line with a reasonable annual increase. Landlords will always be able to apply to have an increase higher than the prescribed amount if they have done substantial renovations. If the landlord is buying a property that already has a tenant there is no legal obligation to retain that tenant if the property will be used by the owner for their own purposes. Owners will likely use this loop hole to remove low rent tenants and re fill the property at market value.
Another really interesting thing that came out of today was the review of the multiple representation process in real estate sales. Multiple representation is not the actual issue here, its blind bids. A seller is often inclined to take a multiple representation offer because it usually saves them at least 1% in total commissions. The realtor is motivated by making 4% versus 2.5% on their sale. So you can see how the invisible hand may lead to some misappropriation here. But if other participating realtors are made aware of the offers received they are more likely to advise their clients to make a more prudent offer versus some of these deals that are being done today, where the winning bid is 100k plus over the closest competing offer. Until there is bidtransparency we cant expect people to not make uneducated offers. Home buying is an emotional transaction where emotion often takes over. The transparency of offers would make it much more likely that a home is sold at or near its market value. Not its future value.
For future value what a lot of people are doing is making an offer for what they believe the home may be worth 1 or 2 years from now, the way they look at it is that the market will catch up to what theyve paid for it. This is a very dangerous practice and could be avoided by having a transparent buying process.
Cheers, id be happy to expand on any of my opinions here.
Canadian home sales fall further in July
According to statistics released today by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), national home sales declined further in July 2017. Highlights:
National home sales fell 2.1% from June to July.
Actual (not seasonally adjusted) activity in July stood 11.9% below last Julys level.
The number of newly listed homes edged back by 1.8% from June to July.
The MLS Home Price Index (HPI) was up 12.9% year-over-year (y-o-y) in July 2017.
The national average sale price edged down by 0.3% y-o-y in July.
Julys interest rate hike may have motivated some homebuyers with pre-approved mortgages to make an offer, said CREA President Andrew Peck. Even so, sales activity continued to soften in the Greater Golden Horseshoe region. Meanwhile, sales and prices in Montreal continue to strengthen. All real estate is local, and REALTORS remain your best source for information about sales and listings where you live or might like to.
July marked the smallest monthly decline in Greater Golden Horseshoe home sales since Ontarios Fair Housing Plan was announced in April, said Gregory Klump, CREAs Chief Economist. This suggests sales may be starting to bottom out amid stabilizing housing market sentiment. Time will tell whether thats indeed the case once the transitory boost by buyers with pre-approved mortgages fades.
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Decline in single-family component moderated by gain in multi-family dwellings
Canadian municipalities issued $8.1 billion worth of building permits in June, up 2.5% from May and the second highest value on record. Higher construction intentions for multi-family dwellings and commercial buildings were mainly responsible for the national increase. All building components reported gains in June, except for single-family dwellings.
The value of residential building permits fell 0.9% in June to $5.0 billion, the fourth decrease in five months. The decline was mainly the result of lower construction intentions in four provinces, notably Ontario.
In June, the value of permits for single-family dwellings decreased 12.5% to $2.4 billion. Seven provinces registered declines, with Ontario being the main contributor to the decrease.
Conversely, construction intentions for multi-family dwellings rose 12.5% in June to $2.7 billion, marking a third consecutive monthly increase. Seven provinces registered gains, led by Ontario and British Columbia.
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