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Many Canadian homeowners pay too much for their homes because they are not getting the best mortgage financing available in the market.
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Home Owner Dreams Dead.... or not?
Are you thinking about purchasing a home this year or know someone else that might be? One of the top banks is advocating to increase the minimum down payment from 5% to 7% and decreasing the amortization from 30 years to 25. So what does that mean for you? Some people might not qualify under the new rules if they are implemented. If you are looking at purchasing a place at $200,000.00 under the current rules, you would need $10,000 as a minimum down payment (or 5% of $200,000). At 7% you would have to come up with an additional $4,000.00 for a total of $14,000.00 as your down payment. As well, by reducing your amortization your monthly payments would increase as well. You would be looking at an additional $104.00 per month which for some could make a significant difference for their budget. Below is an article by Vernon Clement Jones that explains the changes they are considering. If you are sitting on the fence about whether to get into the housing marketing or thinking of refinancing, you may want to take that leap sooner than later and take advantage of our super low rate specials that won’t last long. Give us a call at VERICO ZANDERS Associates Mortgage Brokers Inc. to discuss strategies to ensure your dream of homeownership can become a reality. We can get the BEST mortgage for you! TD economist to Govt: Raise minimum down payment By Vernon Clement Jones | 18/03/2012 5:00:00 PM |15 comments Brokers are guaranteed to bristle at the suggestion, but a top bank economist is among the first to advocate for an increase in the minimum down payment to 7 per cent instead of 5 – an option with significant implications for first-time and cash-back clients. We need to acknowledge that a significant imbalance has developed and it poses a clear and present danger to Canada's medium-term economic outlook,” Craig Alexander, chief economist with TD Bank, said in a report late last week. “It also suggests that further actions to constrain lending growth may be prudent. If the overvaluation was fully unwound rapidly, it would be three times the correction in the early 1990s. While other economists have called for further tightening of the country’s mortgage rules, Alexander is among the first to call for an increase in the minimum down payment to 7 per cent from 5 per cent. He has also broached the idea of instituting a minimum interest-rate floor for income tests, focused on ensuring borrowers can handle a higher rate environment. Another, more commonly debated option, is shortening the maximum amortization to 25 years from 30. Brokers, and their associations, have roundly rejected the need for more stringent mortgage rules, despite near-record high levels of household debt relative to income. That situation became even less sustainable after the Central Bank decided to hold its overnight rate steady last month, further raising concerns that consumers would move to raise their debt levels instead of cutting them. Alexander is now pegging the overvaluation of Canadian home prices at between 10 and 15 per cent. He argues that the real culprit in spiking debt levels has been growing home purchases in the current low interest-rate environment. The outlook is for mild employment and income growth in the coming year, implying that households will gradually become more lever-aged over time, he said.
Housing Market Digest by Will Dunning, Economist for Mortgage Professionals Canada
The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) now requires that all residential mortgages by federally-regulated lenders must be stress-tested, at two percentage points above the contract interest rate (or the 5- year posted rate, if that is higher). In combination with the requirements for mortgage insurance, about 90% of all new mortgages will be tested.
This can be expected to reduce housing activity by 10-15%. It is on top of the impact from recent rises for mortgage interest rates (another 5-10% drop in activity). The combined 15-25% drop in housing activity will affect the broader economy.
In two years, employment could be 150,000-250,000 lower than it would otherwise be. There is a risk that house prices will fall. In a modern economy, a sustained drop in house prices is one of the most dangerous things that can happen: as happened in the US a decade ago, falling house prices can turn into widespread economic decline.
Resale activity recovered a bit more in September, to 492,900, due to partial rebounds in BC and Ontario. Activity is flat in most other areas.
CREAs House Price Index was flat in September. The year-over-year change is now 10.7% (down from the peak of 19.7% that was seen in April).
The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) was 55.7% in September, slightly above the balanced market threshold of 51%. This indicator points to an outlook for stable prices (at worst). But, as noted, OSFIs stress test policy creates a risk of falling prices.
We should, in general, expect that resale activity will trend upwards over time, because the population is growing and the housing inventory is expanding. Therefore, it is useful to look at sales on a per capita basis. Recent activity is below the long-term average.
Employment increased by 35,000 in October
In October, employment rose for youth aged 15 to 24, while it was little changed for the core-aged population of 25- to- 54 year-olds, and for people 55 and older. The largest employment increase was in Quebec, followed by Alberta, Manitoba, Newfoundland and Labrador, and New Brunswick. At the same time, there was a decline in Saskatchewan.
Employment rose in several industries, led by other services; construction; information, culture and recreation; and agriculture. Employment declined in wholesale and retail trade.
The number of private sector employees increased in October, while public sector employment and self-employment were little changed.