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Home Owner Dreams Dead.... or not?
Are you thinking about purchasing a home this year or know someone else that might be? One of the top banks is advocating to increase the minimum down payment from 5% to 7% and decreasing the amortization from 30 years to 25. So what does that mean for you? Some people might not qualify under the new rules if they are implemented. If you are looking at purchasing a place at $200,000.00 under the current rules, you would need $10,000 as a minimum down payment (or 5% of $200,000). At 7% you would have to come up with an additional $4,000.00 for a total of $14,000.00 as your down payment. As well, by reducing your amortization your monthly payments would increase as well. You would be looking at an additional $104.00 per month which for some could make a significant difference for their budget. Below is an article by Vernon Clement Jones that explains the changes they are considering. If you are sitting on the fence about whether to get into the housing marketing or thinking of refinancing, you may want to take that leap sooner than later and take advantage of our super low rate specials that won’t last long. Give us a call at VERICO ZANDERS Associates Mortgage Brokers Inc. to discuss strategies to ensure your dream of homeownership can become a reality. We can get the BEST mortgage for you! TD economist to Govt: Raise minimum down payment By Vernon Clement Jones | 18/03/2012 5:00:00 PM |15 comments Brokers are guaranteed to bristle at the suggestion, but a top bank economist is among the first to advocate for an increase in the minimum down payment to 7 per cent instead of 5 – an option with significant implications for first-time and cash-back clients. We need to acknowledge that a significant imbalance has developed and it poses a clear and present danger to Canada's medium-term economic outlook,” Craig Alexander, chief economist with TD Bank, said in a report late last week. “It also suggests that further actions to constrain lending growth may be prudent. If the overvaluation was fully unwound rapidly, it would be three times the correction in the early 1990s. While other economists have called for further tightening of the country’s mortgage rules, Alexander is among the first to call for an increase in the minimum down payment to 7 per cent from 5 per cent. He has also broached the idea of instituting a minimum interest-rate floor for income tests, focused on ensuring borrowers can handle a higher rate environment. Another, more commonly debated option, is shortening the maximum amortization to 25 years from 30. Brokers, and their associations, have roundly rejected the need for more stringent mortgage rules, despite near-record high levels of household debt relative to income. That situation became even less sustainable after the Central Bank decided to hold its overnight rate steady last month, further raising concerns that consumers would move to raise their debt levels instead of cutting them. Alexander is now pegging the overvaluation of Canadian home prices at between 10 and 15 per cent. He argues that the real culprit in spiking debt levels has been growing home purchases in the current low interest-rate environment. The outlook is for mild employment and income growth in the coming year, implying that households will gradually become more lever-aged over time, he said.
Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1/2 per cent
The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.
Uncertainty about the global outlook is undiminished, particularly with respect to policies in the United States. The Bank has made initial assumptions about prospective tax policies only, resulting in a modest upward revision to its US growth outlook. Overall, the global economy is strengthening largely as expected and prices of some commodities, including oil, have risen. The rapid back-up in global bond yields, partly reflecting market anticipation of US fiscal expansion, has pulled up Canadian yields relative to the OctoberMonetary Policy Report(MPR).
Bearing in mind the important assumptions embedded in its forecast, the Bank projects that Canadas real GDP will grow by 2.1 per cent in both 2017 and 2018. This implies a return to full capacity around mid-2018, in line with Octobers projection.
In the context of a projection that is largely unchanged, the Banks Governing Council judges that the current stance of monetary policy is still appropriate and maintains the target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. Governing Council will continue to assess the impact of ongoing developments, mindful of the significant uncertainties weighing on the outlook.
Source: Bank of Canada
Canadian Housing Starts Trend Declined in December
The trend measure of housing starts in Canada was 198,053 units in December compared to 200,105 in November, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).
The trend is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) of housing starts.
CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and obtain a more complete picture of the state of Canadas housing market. In some situations analyzing only SAAR data can be misleading, as they are largely driven by the multi-unit segment of the market which can vary significantly from one month to the next.
The standalone monthly SAAR for all areas in Canada was 207,041 units in December, up from 187,273 units in November. The SAAR of urban starts increased by 11.8per cent in December to 187,621 units. Multiple urban starts increased by 13.9per cent to 120,750 units in December and single-detached urban starts increased by 8.1per cent, to 66,871 units.
In December, the seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts increased in Ontario, Quebec and the Prairies, but decreased in British Columbia and in Atlantic Canada.