Bank of Canada December Update
As you know, variable rate mortgages, lines of credit and/or student loans are all based on the prime rate and here is an update from me on the recent Bank of Canada announcement on changes to their Overnight Lending Rate which in most cases impacts your Prime rate.At 10:00 am EST, Wednesday December 4th, 2013 the Bank of Canadaagain did what we expected them to do... they continued to maintain their overnight rate.What this means to you is that once again the prime rate on your mortgage, line of creditor student loan willnotchange and remains at 3.00%. This is fabulous news but don't forget to make themostof the low payments you still have, as the ratewill increase in the future. Theholiday season is upon us which often means ourpersonal spendingon gifts and celebrations will potentiallyblow our budgetsas we spend more than we maybe should... let me help you get back on track with a review of your financial situationwhichmight be a savings plan,purchasing anincome property or debtconsolidation topay off high interest loans or credit cards. If you would like to chat about some budgeting and saving strategies - let me know as I would be happy to assist.Here is an excerpt from the announcement from the Bank of Canada and what they had to say about their decision:"The global economy is expanding at a modest rate, as the Bank expected.Although growth in several emerging markets has continued to ease, growth in the US during the 3rd quarter of 2013 was stronger than forcasted.Even if some of this pickup was due to temporary factors, the data is consistent with the Bank's view of gathering momentum in the US economy. In Canada,the housing sector has been stronger than expected but is consistent with updated demographic data and a pulling forward of home purchases in light of favourable financing conditions. The Bank continues to expect a soft landing in the housing market. Non-commodity exports continue to disappoint and the price of oil produced in Canada has eased further.Business investment spending is up from previous low levels, but is still recovering more slowly than anticipated. On balance, the Bank sees no reason to adjust its expectation of a gradual return to full production capacity around the end of 2015"Based on this news and continued slower level of economic activity in Canada, the Bank does not expect to increase their rate in the foreseeable future with any change most likely to occur in late 2014 or even not until 2015! Remember that any increase to the prime rate since 1992 has only been by 0.25% at anyONE time, so you won't see a large significant increase all at once.Fixed rates did go up but then have come back down since. Right now they are sitting at around 3.39% to 3.59% for a five year fixed term.Based on this recent announcement, and the anticipation that the prime rate will still remain low for a while now, unless you feel otherwise, I'd recommend that you remain with your current variable rate product as the interest is lower than a fixed term rate right now. However if having a fixed payment is important to you, call me so I can calculate what your new payment would look like and also if it is suitable for you. The next announcement on any change to the prime rate is January 22, 2014.
Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1 per cent
The Bank of Canada is raising its target for the overnight rate to 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
Recent economic data have been stronger than expected, supporting the Banks view that growth in Canada is becoming more broadly-based and self-sustaining. Consumer spending remains robust, underpinned by continued solid employment and income growth. There has also been more widespread strength in business investment and in exports. Meanwhile, the housing sector appears to be cooling in some markets in response to recent changes in tax and housing finance policies. The Bank continues to expect a moderation in the pace of economic growth in the second half of 2017, for the reasons described in the July Monetary Policy Report (MPR), but the level of GDP is now higher than the Bank had expected.
The global economic expansion is becoming more synchronous, as anticipated in July, with stronger-than-expected indicators of growth, including higher industrial commodity prices. However, significant geopolitical risks and uncertainties around international trade and fiscal policies remain, leading to a weaker US dollar against many major currencies. In this context, the Canadian dollar has appreciated, also reflecting the relative strength of Canadas economy.
While inflation remains below the 2 per cent target, it has evolved largely as expected in July. There has been a slight increase in both total CPI and the Banks core measures of inflation, consistent with the dissipating negative impact of temporary price shocks and the absorption of economic slack. Nonetheless, there remains some excess capacity in Canadas labour market, and wage and price pressures are still more subdued than historical relationships would suggest, as observed in some other advanced economies.
Canadian home sales fall further in July
According to statistics released today by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), national home sales declined further in July 2017. Highlights:
National home sales fell 2.1% from June to July.
Actual (not seasonally adjusted) activity in July stood 11.9% below last Julys level.
The number of newly listed homes edged back by 1.8% from June to July.
The MLS Home Price Index (HPI) was up 12.9% year-over-year (y-o-y) in July 2017.
The national average sale price edged down by 0.3% y-o-y in July.
Julys interest rate hike may have motivated some homebuyers with pre-approved mortgages to make an offer, said CREA President Andrew Peck. Even so, sales activity continued to soften in the Greater Golden Horseshoe region. Meanwhile, sales and prices in Montreal continue to strengthen. All real estate is local, and REALTORS remain your best source for information about sales and listings where you live or might like to.
July marked the smallest monthly decline in Greater Golden Horseshoe home sales since Ontarios Fair Housing Plan was announced in April, said Gregory Klump, CREAs Chief Economist. This suggests sales may be starting to bottom out amid stabilizing housing market sentiment. Time will tell whether thats indeed the case once the transitory boost by buyers with pre-approved mortgages fades.
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