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If home prices will drop, should I wait to buy in 2021?
Will you save money by waiting? Below is a simple cost-benefit approach to help you decide whether to wait or buy now. Its not an exact calculation, but it should give you a rough idea. How much could you save by waiting 12 months for lower prices? Use my What can I afford calculator to calculate your maximum home buying budget. Then calculate how by how many dollars the price would drop with a 10% correction and with a 20% correction. For example, a $400,000 home would drop $40,000 with a 10% correction and $80,000 with a 20% correction. How much will it cost you to wait? Multiply your monthly rent by 12 to calculate your annual cost of waiting a year. For example, the average rent for a house in Calgary, at that price range,is $1,850, so the annual cost is $22,200. The example above, the cost of waiting is $22,200, or roughly 5.6% of the purchase price. If you feel prices in Calgary will only drop 10% then it would make sense to buy as prices have dropped 5% because the rent savings will offset the remaining potential home price savings. Reviewing the housing statistics in Calgary the percentage of change based on the average price is 3.59% from last year. Contacting an experienced realtor will help understand the history of price adjustments, as well the forecasts for the rest of this year.
National Bank of Canada Weekly Economic Watch
Housing starts rose from 166.5K in April to 193.5K in May (seasonally adjusted and annualized). Urban starts improved 22K to 181.1K on increases in both the multi-unit (+14.9K to 135.9K) and the single-detached (+7.1K to 45.3K) segments. At the provincial level, urban starts shot up in Quebec from 0K in April to 56.3K as social distancing measures were eased but plunged 37.1K to 56.5K in Ontario. June results should provide a clearer snapshot of the post-lockdown residential construction industry in Canada. Projects delayed on account of the Covid-19 pandemic might sustain starts at a relatively high level for a short while but the longer-term horizon looks less promising in light of much higher joblessness and reduced immigration. Moreover, tougher CMHC standards for mortgage insurance will likely exclude some potential buyers by shrinking their purchasing power. We estimate that the new rules governing maximum gross debt service will reduce by about 11% the amount that the median Canadian household will be allowed to borrow. Source: NBA Economics and Strategy
Virtual Tours and Live Streams a Hit on REALTOR.ca
While staying home to help stop the spread of COVID-19, Canadians are spending more time looking at properties on REALTOR.ca, Canadas No. 1 real estate platform*. During the week of March 9, visits to REALTOR.ca dropped by 30%; however, since April 12 traffic has crept back up by 14% and consumer inquiries to REALTORS through the site rose by 25%similar to levels during the same period last year. Despite the pandemic, REALTOR.ca has seen a 14% increase of visitors during the first quarter of 2020. As COVID-19 is limiting how buyers can visit homes that interest them, REALTOR.ca makes it possible for Canadian REALTORS to virtually showcase listings by integrating video and 3D tours from 10 of the most popular services. Since April 7, REALTORS can also schedule and promote live stream open houses using popular platforms such as Facebook Live, Instagram Live, Zoom and YouTube. If theres one thing 30-plus years in this business has taught me, its that as an industry we are early adopters of technology, said Costa Poulopoulos, Chair of the Canadian Real Estate Association. With restrictions on how we can continue to serve our clients, Im proud that weve been able to add features for REALTORS that allow them to continue to show homes to interested buyers.