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Is a Re-Finance Worth it For You? See Here.
How to Check if Re-Financing Today Will Save or Cost You Money
Depending on your current interest rate, you may be thinking of looking into a re-finance to take advantage of todays low rates. Of course, as you probably know it isnt just as easy as switching your mortgage out for a lower rate, there are several costs and factors you need to consider. Things such as penalty to break your mortgage and closing costs on a new mortgage are all determining factors in the decision to re-finance or not. Were going to show you how to break down the costs and make an educated decision. Of course, the below is only to give you a guideline and although fairly accurate, should not be used as a quote or promise of any kind. (Seems obvious but we have to write that, youd be surprised). Now that the legal mumbo-jumbo is out of the way, heres what you do:
Determine what your penalty is. Unless your mortgage is open, then there will be a penalty to pay it off early. If your mortgage is a variable rate, then you will be paying 3 months interest only which is a simple calculation.
Mortgage Balance x Interest Rate = A
A 12 = B
B x 3 = 3 months interest penalty.
$300,000 balance at 2.30% (300k x 2.30% = $6,900. $6,900 12 = $575 x 3 months = $1,725
If you are on a fixed rate then your penalty will be the greater of three months interest (above) or Interest Rate Differential (IRD). IRD is where the lender takes your current rate and puts it against the rate being offered for the term that most closely matches the time remaining on your mortgage term. So if you have 2 years left on your mortgage, they would use the 2 year term. The math for this is slightly more complicated.
Current Rate Reinvestment Rate = A
Mortgage Balance x A = B
B 365 x Number of days left to maturity = IRD Penalty.
Lets see an example using a mortgage balance of $300,000 with an interest rate of 3.19% with 2 years left on the term and a current 2 year rate of 2.29%. Remember, these numbers are for example purposes only.
Ex. 3.19% 2.29% = 0.90%. $300,000 x 0.90% = $2,700 365 x 730 = $5,399.81 IRD penalty
You can also take into consideration your pre-payment privileges on the balance.
So now that you are able to calculate your penalty all on your own, lets move to step two
Get an estimate of any closing costs you are likely to incur. For this example we will use the IRD results from above and assume our mortgage balance is $300,000 at 3.19%, we will also estimate the following:
Appraisal cost: $350
Legal Fees: $1,500
Penalty using IRD method: $5,399.81
Now that you know what it will cost you to break your mortgage and close a new one, its time to determine your potential savings on a new mortgage. Again, we will assume our balance is $300,000 with our current interest rate at 3.19% and our potential new rate being 2.64%.
Over the last two years remaining on your term, you would be paying roughly $16,500 of interest at the 3.19%
and on the first two years of your new mortgage at 2.64% you would be paying about $14,500 of interest, a savings of around $2,000. Or you can look at your existing payments of $1,449.14/month vs your new payments of $1,364.90 a savings of $84.24/month. Over two years $2,021.76. This of course does not outweigh the cost of breaking the mortgage and would therefore be better to wait until your penalty is lower. In the case where you are paying three months interest, then it would be worth it to re-finance.
Keep in mind you should always double check with your mortgage broker to be sure what the penalty is. In a lot of cases, they may be able to get you a discount on the penalty or help you avoid legal fees and appraisals costs. If you are thinking about re-financing to get your rate lowered, check in with us and well let you know where you stand. Hope this helps you understand your mortgage a little better.
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Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 ¾ per cent
The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 2 per cent and the deposit rate is 1 per cent.
Recent data suggest that the slowdown in the global economy has been more pronounced and widespread than the Bank had forecast in its January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). While the sources of moderation appear to be multiple, trade tensions and uncertainty are weighing heavily on confidence and economic activity. It is difficult to disentangle these confidence effects from other adverse factors, but it is clear that global economic prospects would be buoyed by the resolution of trade conflicts.
Many central banks have acknowledged the building headwinds to growth, and financial conditions have eased as a result. Meanwhile, progress in US-China trade talks and policy stimulus in China have improved market sentiment and contributed to firmer commodity prices.
For Canada, the Bank was projecting a temporary slowdown in late 2018 and early 2019, mainly because of last years drop in oil prices. The Bank had forecast weak exports and investment in the energy sector and a decline in household spending in oil-producing provinces. However, the slowdown in the fourth quarter was sharper and more broadly based. Consumer spending and the housing market were soft, despite strong growth in employment and labour income. Both exports and business investment also fell short of expectations. After growing at a pace of 1.8 per cent in 2018, it now appears that the economy will be weaker in the first half of 2019 than the Bank projected in January.
Core inflation measures remain close to 2 per cent. CPI inflation eased to 1.4 per cent in January, largely because of lower gasoline prices. The Bank expects CPI inflation to be slightly below the 2 per cent target through most of 2019, reflecting the impact of temporary factors, including the drag from lower energy prices and a wider output gap.
Governing Council judges that the outlook continues to warrant a policy interest rate that is below its neutral range. Given the mixed picture that the data present, it will take time to gauge the persistence of below-potential growth and the implications for the inflation outlook. With increased uncertainty about the timing of future rate increases, Governing Council will be watching closely developments in household spending, oil markets, and global trade policy.
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is April 24, 2019. The next full update of the Banks outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be published in the MPR at the same time.
Young people not in employment, education or training: What did they do in the past 12 months?
Young people (aged 15 to 29) who are not in employment, education or training (NEET) are often considered to be more vulnerable than their peers, as they may face a risk of becoming disengaged or socially excluded, and could miss out on gaining skills or experience in the labour market.
While Statistics Canada has previously examined the characteristics of the NEET population,1 this is the first study to examine the main activities of NEET15- to 29-year-olds over a 12-month period using Labour Force Survey (LFS) data. 2 Among the activities to be analyzed are going to school, working, caring for children, and volunteering both as a main and secondary activity.
Overall, there were 6.9 million young people aged 15 to 29 in Canada in September 2018. Of those, 4.0 million were non-students (57.8%), while 2.9 million were students 3 (42.4%). Both categories (students and non-students) are then divided into the employed and the not employed. The NEET population consists of all non-students who are not employed: in September 2018, 779,000 people were in this category (11.3% of the total population aged 15 to 29).
Those aged 25 to 29 comprised the largest proportion (46.8%) of young people who were NEET during the LFS reference week, followed by 20 to 24 (36.9%), and 15 to 19 (16.2%). While NEET individuals were slightly more likely to be female (52.1%) than male (47.9%) overall, those aged 15 to 19 were a few percentage points more likely to be male, and those aged 25 to 29 were similarly likely to be female.
Of young people who were NEET in September 2018, 34.5% were unemployed (looking for work and available for work), and 65.5% were inactive (not looking for work). While each of these groups may be at risk of falling behind their peers on work experience, this concern is generally greater for those who are inactive, as they may face challenges entering or re-entering the labour force.
Both male and female NEET individuals were more likely to be inactive than unemployed, though the share of women that were out of the labour force (72.2%) was greater than the share of men (58.2%).