Why you may want to consider applying for a mortgage or refinancing your existing one before New Year?
If you are considering conventional uninsured mortgage in the next 4-5 months for either purchasing a property, refinancing, or switching lenders, it might be crucial to get approval before Jan 1, 2018.
Due to a new rule for uninsured mortgages after New Year you may qualify for $100,000-$150,000 less then you expected. That could be a problem or even a deal breaker for some people.
Assuming you have an annual income of $100,000, you do not have any liabilities (0 debts) and the property you trying to finance/refinance is in GTA or area with similar property taxes and maintenance fees, the maximum mortgage loan you qualify now for a conventional 3.39% 5 year fixed 25y amortization is about $541,000. After New Year the max amount you will qualify for the same one will be approx. $442,000 or $99,000 less. Lets see another case - if your annual income is $150,000 for the same situation the numbers are respectively $870,000 before Jan 1st and $711,000 after, so you will qualify for $159,000 less.
Again, this is only for conventional uninsured 5 year fixed rate mortgages with Loan-To-Value 80% or less. All others has been already affected by the Qualifying Stress rule introduced last year.
Also, this includes refinancing or switching an existing mortgage to a new lender.
Straight mortgage renewals are not supposed to be affected, but at the moment there is no clarity on this and most likely will depend on your lender, or the institution behind your lender, so you might be surprised even at renewal.
A mortgage approval before the end of the year will let you qualify for a bigger loan and most of the mortgages have 120 days hold period, so my advice is take advantage of this opportunity, if applicable to you.
Mortgage Deferral Agreements and Their Impact
CMHCs Fall 2020 Residential Mortgage Industry Dashboard discusses mortgage deferral agreements and their impact.
At the end of the second quarter, credit unions, mortgage finance companies (MFCs) and mortgage investment entities (MIEs) have allowed mortgage deferral agreements for about 6%, 7% and 7% of their respective residential mortgage portfolios.
Chartered banks have allowed 16% of mortgages to go into deferral since the beginning of the pandemic. Of these, close to 2 out of 3 borrowers had resumed payments on their mortgages at the end of the third quarter of 2020. In the coming months, we could see higher delinquency rates if some borrowers are unable to resume their payments; these mortgages will have to be booked as arrears.
These deferral agreements have affected financial institutions cash flows, with reductions of:
4% in scheduled mortgage payments
3% in non-scheduled payments (accelerated monthly payments and lump-sum payments)
While remaining at low levels, mortgages in arrears (90 or more days delinquent) have increased slightly between the first and second quarters of 2020 from:
0.24% to 0.26%, on average, for chartered banks
0.23% to 0.25%, on average, for non-bank mortgage lenders
We also observe an increase in early-stage delinquencies (31 to 59 days and 60 to 89 days), which suggests that arrears could continue on an upward trend.
Bank of Canada will maintain current level of policy rate until inflation objective is achieved, continues its quantitative easing program
The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of percent, with the Bank Rate at percent and the deposit rate at percent. The Bank is maintaining its extraordinary forward guidance, reinforced and supplemented by its quantitative easing (QE) program, which continues at its current pace of at least $4 billion per week.
The rebound in the global and Canadian economies has unfolded largely as the Bank had anticipated in its October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). More recently, news on the development of effective vaccines is providing reassurance that the pandemic will end and more normal activities will resume, although the pace and breadth of the global rollout of vaccinations remain uncertain. Near term, new waves of infections are expected to set back recoveries in many parts of the world. Accommodative policy and financial conditions are continuing to provide support across most regions. Stronger demand is pushing up prices for most commodities, including oil. A broad-based decline in the US exchange rate has contributed to a further appreciation of the Canadian dollar.