BoC interest rate revealed!
The Central Bank raised its new target for the overnight rate to % Wednesday, citing a confident financial outlook and above-potential growth.
This despite softened inflation, which thebankCanadas economy has been robust, fuelled by household spending. As a result, a significant amount of economic slack has been absorbed. The very
The BoC estimates real GDP growth to moderate from 2.8% in 2017 to 2% in 2018 and 1.6% in 2019.
Governing Council judges that the current outlook warrants todays withdrawal of some of the monetary policy stimulus in the economy, the Bank said. Future adjustments to the target for the overnight rate will be guided by incoming data as they inform the Banks inflation outlook, keeping in mind continued uncertainty and financial system vulnerabilities.
judges to be temporary.strong
of the first quarter is expected to moderate over the balance of the year, but remain above potential, it said. Growth is broadening across industries and regions and therefore becoming more sustainable. As the adjustment to lower oil prices is largely complete, both the goods and services sectors are expanding.
Household spending will likely remain solid in the months ahead, supported by rising employment and wages, but its pace is expected to slow over the projection horizon, the Bank continued. At the same time, exports should make an increasing contribution to GDP growth. Business investment should also add to growth, a view supported by the most recent Business Outlook Survey.
The Bank also cited strengthening global economy and a US economy that is solidly growing as factors for raising its rate.
Europe is also experiencing above-potential growth.
However, geopolitical uncertainty and softened world oil prices remain concerns.
If you have any questions about how this can impact your variable rate mortgage or line of credit, contact me!
First-Time Home Buyer Incentive now available
The First-Time Home Buyer Incentive helps qualified first-time homebuyers reduce their monthly mortgage payments without adding to their financial burdens.
The First-Time Home Buyer Incentive is a shared-equity mortgage with the Government of Canada. It offers:
5% or 10% for a first-time buyers purchase of a newly constructed home
5% for a first-time buyers purchase of a resale (existing) home
5% for a first-time buyers purchase of a new or resale mobile/manufactured home
The Incentives shared-equity mortgage is one where the government has a shared investment in the home. As a result, the government shares in both the upside and downside of the property value.
By obtaining the Incentive, the borrower may not have to save as much of a down payment to be able to afford the payments associated with the mortgage. The effect of the larger down payment is a smaller mortgage, and, ultimately, lower monthly costs.
The homebuyer will still have to repay the Incentive based on the propertys fair market value at the time of repayment. If a homebuyer received a 5% Incentive, they would repay 5% of the homes value at repayment. If a homebuyer received a 10% Incentive, they would repay 10% of the homes value at repayment.
The homebuyer must repay the Incentive after 25 years, or when the property is sold, whichever comes first. The homebuyer can also repay the Incentive in full any time before, without a pre-payment penalty.
Ask me for more information.
Consumer Price Index climbs in July
In July, the consumer price index climbed 0.5% (not seasonally adjusted), three ticks higher than the median economist forecast. The rise left the year-on-year measure unchanged at 2.0%. In seasonally adjusted terms, the CPI was up 0.4% in the month on increases in recreation (+0.9%), transportation (+0.6%), and food (+0.3%), among others. The Bank of Canadas preferred core measures on a year-on-year basis pegged in as follows: 2.1% for the CPI-trim, 2.1% for the CPI- median, and 1.9% for the CPI-common. The average of the three measures remained in line with the BoCs midpoint target of 2.0%. It is worth noting that the momentum has been building of late. Our in-house replication of the CPI-trim and the CPI-median for the three months to July reached 2.5% and 2.6%, respectively, on an annualized basis. Whereas the Fed can point to soft annual inflation figures to justify rate cuts, the BoC is faced with a very different situation. Whats more, in a context marked by a tight labour market and a weak Canadian dollar, we cannot rule out stronger inflation down the road.