Foreign entities investing in the housing market.
An intersting article came about regarding the influx of foreign money into the housing market by CBC.http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/housing-market-regulations-1.3479818.
I am for regulating the market to foreign money for the following points:
The demand for housing is not related to dweling requirement but on investment requirement forcing the prices to go up; common Canadians would not be able to afford these prices resorting to renting and other non-permanent means of dwelling
Income from investment properties held by foreign entities are very unlikely invested back into Canada. There is a potential that the revenues generated leave the country - we have no laws to prevent this
As more foreign funds come into the housing market, sustainability of the whole market is now in the hands of entities who may chose to abandon or sell their investments. This will affect the whole market as people who opted to buy the property at a higher cost after saving their hard earned money would suffer from a devaluated house price.
Banks would be unclear as to the direction of these investment properties - they would not have any solid indicator if a default is emminent.
The idea of building house for local consumption or local use should be the priority and should be the focus of the housing market. If there is a large portion of houses owned by foreign entities being used to leverage on a quick and short term profit, it is then no different from the stock market where the later would have regulations on how a sale was done - on properties , you can dispose an asset when you want to. This is not sustainable in the long run.
LISTINGS FALL AGAIN TO END 2019, PUSHING PRICES HIGHER
Canadian Real Estate Association data show that national-level home sales fell 0.9% (sa m/m) in December 2019 after rising in the previous nine months. Limited availability looks to be increasingly weighing on sales activity. The month saw another broad-based decline in new listings18 of the 31 centres for which we have data witnessed fallsthat lifted the national sales-to-new listings ratio to 66.9%. It was the highest ratio since 2004 and a third straight month of supply- demand conditions tilted in favour of sellers (after data revisions). Fourteen cities reported sellers market conditions; the rest were balanced. The aggregate MLS Home Price Index (HPI) rose 3.4% (nsa y/y), its best gain since March 2018.
Montreal remained Canadas tightest local market, with rising sales and falling listings leading to yet another record-high sales-to-new listings ratio and the citys steepest y/y MLS HPI gains since 2005. Ottawas ratio also reached a new high as new listings plunged by more than 20% (sa m/m), driving a record 12.5% (nsa y/y) MLS HPI increase. Toronto also crept into sellers market territory for the first time since March 2017as in Montreal, home purchases rose and new listings felland its 7.3% (nsa y/y) HPI rise was the sharpest since 2017.
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Source: Scotiabank Economics
Story in 2018 and early 2019 was weak sales; story in 2020 will be lack of supply
The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has updated its forecast for home sales activity via the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) Systems of Canadian real estate boards and associations this year and for 2020.
Evidence suggests housing activity will continue to improve into 2020, with prices either continuing to rise or accelerating in many parts of Canada. Indeed, many housing market indicators continue to support this outlook.
Economic fundamentals underpinning housing activity remain strong outside of the Prairies together with Newfoundland and Labrador. The national resale housing market outlook continues to be supported by population and employment growth while consumer confidence is benefiting from low unemployment rates outside oil-producing provinces. Additionally, the Bank of Canada is widely expected to not raise interest rates in 2020.
Mortgage interest rates have declined, including the Bank of Canadas benchmark five-year rate used by Canadas largest banks to qualify applicants under the B-20 mortgage stress-test. Though the decline in the benchmark rate has been modest, it is helping to improve homebuyer access to home purchase financing.