Foreign entities investing in the housing market.
An intersting article came about regarding the influx of foreign money into the housing market by CBC.http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/housing-market-regulations-1.3479818.
I am for regulating the market to foreign money for the following points:
The demand for housing is not related to dweling requirement but on investment requirement forcing the prices to go up; common Canadians would not be able to afford these prices resorting to renting and other non-permanent means of dwelling
Income from investment properties held by foreign entities are very unlikely invested back into Canada. There is a potential that the revenues generated leave the country - we have no laws to prevent this
As more foreign funds come into the housing market, sustainability of the whole market is now in the hands of entities who may chose to abandon or sell their investments. This will affect the whole market as people who opted to buy the property at a higher cost after saving their hard earned money would suffer from a devaluated house price.
Banks would be unclear as to the direction of these investment properties - they would not have any solid indicator if a default is emminent.
The idea of building house for local consumption or local use should be the priority and should be the focus of the housing market. If there is a large portion of houses owned by foreign entities being used to leverage on a quick and short term profit, it is then no different from the stock market where the later would have regulations on how a sale was done - on properties , you can dispose an asset when you want to. This is not sustainable in the long run.
The Contagion of Fear
Fears of a possible coronavirus pandemic are sweeping the world. Markets are jittery with little hard data to go on.
With the first case now reported in Canada, many are recalling the 2003 SARS where Canada was one of the epicenters. Arguably the biggest (economic) lesson from that experience is that fear is the biggest risk to the outlook.
The impact of the SARS pandemic on the Canadian economy is difficult to estimate, confounded as it was by the slowing US economy, the invasion of Iraq and other events, but the Bank of Canada estimated -0.6ppt hit to annualized growth in Q2-2003, or just over 0.1% on the level of GDP.
While it is premature to predict the path of todays coronavirus outbreak, we estimate that a SARS-equivalent pandemic today could have a similar impact on the Canadian economy with an estimated hit of just over 0.1% on the level of GDP by mid-2020, at which point a pandemic should be contained. This estimate is subject to a significant degree of uncertainty with risks skewed to a potentially larger impact.
The effect should not be significant enough to trigger a broader economic malaise, but could this finally push Governor Poloz over the line to proactively stimulate the economy in his next rate call?
Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 ¾ percent
The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 percent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 2 percent and the deposit rate is 1 percent.
The global economy is showing signs of stabilization, and some recent trade developments have been positive. However, there remains a high degree of uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have re-emerged, with tragic consequences. The Canadian economy has been resilient but indicators since the October Monetary Policy Report(MPR) have been mixed.
Data for Canada indicate that growth in the near term will be weaker, and the output gap wider, than the Bank projected in October. The Bank now estimates growth of 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.3 percent in the first quarter of 2020. Exports fell in late 2019, and business investment appears to have weakened after a strong third quarter. Job creation has slowed and indicators of consumer confidence and spending have been unexpectedly soft. In contrast, residential investment was robust through most of 2019, moderating to a still-solid pace in the fourth quarter.